Kim, Si Woo vs Rose, Justin prediction for June 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Rose, Justin 34 - Kim, Si Woo 62. Kim, Si Woo is favored with a 66.5% win probability. The spread is 0.59.
Rose, Justin
+1.20
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • U.S. Open
Kim, Si Woo
+1.70
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Rose, JustinKim, Si Woo
-163
Best Odds
+7.2%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Kim, Si Woo
556269
Rose, Justin
273441
Tournament Context
Event
U.S. Open
Course
Shinnecock Hills Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — Kim, Si Woo
Strokes Gained
+1.70/round
World Class
Course Fit
good
+0.199 SG adj
Expected Finish
62th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Kim, Si Woo
+1.70 SG
EF 62th
Skill Gap
+0.59 SG/round
meaningful edge for Kim, Si Woo
Rose, Justin
+1.20 SG
EF 34th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
66.5%
Books Say
62.0%
Edge
+7.2%
Kim, Si Woo vs Rose, Justin: Model gives Kim, Si Woo 66.5% win probability vs 62.0% implied (+7.2% edge). Skill advantage: +0.59 SG/round. Expected finish: 62.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Kim, Si Woo 66.5%
+7.2 pts
Spread
+0.6
+7.2 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →