PGA Tour Golf

Kim, Tom vs Homa, Max Prediction

June 10, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Kim, Tom vs Homa, Max prediction for June 10, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Homa, Max 0 - Kim, Tom 87. Kim, Tom is favored with a 60.4% win probability. The spread is -0.12.

Homa, Max
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • RBC Canadian Open
Kim, Tom
+0.22
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
39.6%
60.4%
Homa, MaxKim, Tom
-110
Best Odds
+15.3%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
FINALKim, Tom (T30) def Homa, Max (T53)

Tournament Context

Event
RBC Canadian Open
Course
TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
Field
147 players

Player Profile — Kim, Tom

Strokes Gained
+0.22/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
good
+0.239 SG adj
Expected Finish
87th / 147

Matchup Analysis

Kim, Tom
+0.22 SG
EF 87th
Skill Gap
-0.12 SG/round
tight edge for Homa, Max
Homa, Max
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
60.4%
Books Say
52.4%
Edge
+15.3%

Kim, Tom vs Homa, Max: Model gives Kim, Tom 60.4% win probability vs 52.4% implied (+15.3% edge). Skill advantage: -0.12 SG/round. Expected finish: 87.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Kim, Tom 60.4%
+15.3 pts
Spread
-0.1
+15.3 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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