Kim, Tom vs Homa, Max prediction for June 11, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Homa, Max 0 - Kim, Tom 86. Kim, Tom is favored with a 60.3% win probability. The spread is -0.12.
Homa, Max
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • RBC Canadian Open
Kim, Tom
+0.22
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Homa, MaxKim, Tom
-110
Best Odds
+15.1%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Tournament Context
Event
RBC Canadian Open
Course
TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
Field
147 players
Player Profile — Kim, Tom
Strokes Gained
+0.22/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
good
+0.239 SG adj
Expected Finish
86th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Kim, Tom
+0.22 SG
EF 86th
Skill Gap
-0.12 SG/round
tight edge for Homa, Max
Homa, Max
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
60.3%
Books Say
52.4%
Edge
+15.1%
Kim, Tom vs Homa, Max: Model gives Kim, Tom 60.3% win probability vs 52.4% implied (+15.1% edge). Skill advantage: -0.12 SG/round. Expected finish: 86.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Kim, Tom 60.3%
+15.1 pts
Spread
-0.1
+15.1 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →