Kim, Tom vs Im, Sungjae prediction for June 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Im, Sungjae 43 - Kim, Tom 100. Kim, Tom is favored with a 63.4% win probability. The spread is 0.03.
Im, Sungjae
+0.36
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • U.S. Open
Kim, Tom
+0.35
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Im, SungjaeKim, Tom
+100
Best Odds
+26.7%
Edge
2.0u ELITE
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Kim, Tom
93100107
Im, Sungjae
364350
Tournament Context
Event
U.S. Open
Course
Shinnecock Hills Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — Kim, Tom
Strokes Gained
+0.35/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
excellent
+0.331 SG adj
Expected Finish
100th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Kim, Tom
+0.35 SG
EF 100th
Skill Gap
+0.03 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Im, Sungjae
+0.36 SG
EF 43th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
63.4%
Books Say
50.0%
Edge
+26.7%
Kim, Tom vs Im, Sungjae: Model gives Kim, Tom 63.4% win probability vs 50.0% implied (+26.7% edge). Expected finish: 100.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Kim, Tom 63.4%
+26.7 pts
Spread
+0.0
+26.7 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →