Koivun, Jackson vs Kim, Tom prediction for June 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Kim, Tom 0 - Koivun, Jackson 97. Koivun, Jackson is favored with a 61.0% win probability. The spread is 0.53.
Kim, Tom
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • U.S. Open
Koivun, Jackson
+0.88
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Kim, TomKoivun, Jackson
-108
Best Odds
+17.5%
Edge
1.5u ELITE
Sizing
Tournament Context
Event
U.S. Open
Course
Shinnecock Hills Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — Koivun, Jackson
Strokes Gained
+0.88/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.086 SG adj
Expected Finish
97th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Koivun, Jackson
+0.88 SG
EF 97th
Skill Gap
+0.53 SG/round
meaningful edge for Koivun, Jackson
Kim, Tom
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
61.0%
Books Say
51.9%
Edge
+17.5%
Koivun, Jackson vs Kim, Tom: Model gives Koivun, Jackson 61.0% win probability vs 51.9% implied (+17.5% edge). Skill advantage: +0.53 SG/round. Expected finish: 97.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Koivun, Jackson 61.0%
+17.5 pts
Spread
+0.5
+17.5 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →