Lee, Min Woo vs Scott, Adam prediction for May 11, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Scott, Adam 79 - Lee, Min Woo 73. Lee, Min Woo is favored with a 57.5% win probability. The spread is -0.09.
Scott, Adam
+1.24
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • PGA Championship
Lee, Min Woo
+1.16
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Scott, AdamLee, Min Woo
-114
Best Odds
+8.0%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Lee, Min Woo
667380
Scott, Adam
727986
Tournament Context
Event
PGA Championship
Course
Aronimink Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — Lee, Min Woo
Strokes Gained
+1.16/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
excellent
+0.615 SG adj
Expected Finish
73th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Lee, Min Woo
+1.16 SG
EF 73th
Skill Gap
-0.09 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Scott, Adam
+1.24 SG
EF 79th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
57.5%
Books Say
53.3%
Edge
+8.0%
Lee, Min Woo vs Scott, Adam: Model gives Lee, Min Woo 57.5% win probability vs 53.3% implied (+8.0% edge). Expected finish: 73.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Lee, Min Woo 57.5%
+8.0 pts
Spread
-0.1
+8.0 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →