Lee, Min Woo vs Spieth, Jordan prediction for June 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Spieth, Jordan 37 - Lee, Min Woo 76. Lee, Min Woo is favored with a 59.2% win probability. The spread is 0.14.
Spieth, Jordan
+0.91
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • U.S. Open
Lee, Min Woo
+1.12
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Spieth, JordanLee, Min Woo
-115
Best Odds
+10.7%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Lee, Min Woo
697683
Spieth, Jordan
303744
Tournament Context
Event
U.S. Open
Course
Shinnecock Hills Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — Lee, Min Woo
Strokes Gained
+1.12/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
excellent
+0.305 SG adj
Expected Finish
76th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Lee, Min Woo
+1.12 SG
EF 76th
Skill Gap
+0.14 SG/round
tight edge for Lee, Min Woo
Spieth, Jordan
+0.91 SG
EF 37th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
59.2%
Books Say
53.5%
Edge
+10.7%
Lee, Min Woo vs Spieth, Jordan: Model gives Lee, Min Woo 59.2% win probability vs 53.5% implied (+10.7% edge). Skill advantage: +0.14 SG/round. Expected finish: 76.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Lee, Min Woo 59.2%
+10.7 pts
Spread
+0.1
+10.7 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →