Lowry, Shane vs Theegala, Sahith prediction for April 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Theegala, Sahith 34 - Lowry, Shane 24. Lowry, Shane is favored with a 68.9% win probability. The spread is 0.31.
Theegala, Sahith
+0.80
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Cadillac Championship
Lowry, Shane
+1.10
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Theegala, SahithLowry, Shane
-123
Best Odds
+24.9%
Edge
2.0u ELITE
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Lowry, Shane
172431
Theegala, Sahith
273441
Tournament Context
Event
Cadillac Championship
Course
Trump National Doral (Blue Monster)
Field
72 players
Player Profile — Lowry, Shane
Strokes Gained
+1.10/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
poor
-0.114 SG adj
Expected Finish
24th / 72
Matchup Analysis
Lowry, Shane
+1.10 SG
EF 24th
Skill Gap
+0.31 SG/round
tight edge for Lowry, Shane
Theegala, Sahith
+0.80 SG
EF 34th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
68.9%
Books Say
55.2%
Edge
+24.9%
Lowry, Shane vs Theegala, Sahith: Model gives Lowry, Shane 68.9% win probability vs 55.2% implied (+24.9% edge). Skill advantage: +0.31 SG/round. Expected finish: 24.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Lowry, Shane 68.9%
+24.9 pts
Spread
+0.3
+24.9 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →