MacIntyre, Robert vs Lee, Min Woo prediction for May 5, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Lee, Min Woo 65 - MacIntyre, Robert 44. MacIntyre, Robert is favored with a 59.1% win probability. The spread is 0.12.
Lee, Min Woo
+1.16
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • PGA Championship
MacIntyre, Robert
+1.29
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Lee, Min WooMacIntyre, Robert
-105
Best Odds
+15.3%
Edge
1.5u ELITE
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
MacIntyre, Robert
374451
Lee, Min Woo
586572
Tournament Context
Event
PGA Championship
Course
Aronimink Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — MacIntyre, Robert
Strokes Gained
+1.29/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
excellent
+1.405 SG adj
Expected Finish
44th / 156
Matchup Analysis
MacIntyre, Robert
+1.29 SG
EF 44th
Skill Gap
+0.12 SG/round
tight edge for MacIntyre, Robert
Lee, Min Woo
+1.16 SG
EF 65th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
59.1%
Books Say
51.2%
Edge
+15.3%
MacIntyre, Robert vs Lee, Min Woo: Model gives MacIntyre, Robert 59.1% win probability vs 51.2% implied (+15.3% edge). Skill advantage: +0.12 SG/round. Expected finish: 44.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
MacIntyre, Robert 59.1%
+15.3 pts
Spread
+0.1
+15.3 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →