MacIntyre, Robert vs Lowry, Shane prediction for June 11, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Lowry, Shane 82 - MacIntyre, Robert 66. MacIntyre, Robert is favored with a 56.3% win probability. The spread is -0.13.
Lowry, Shane
+1.18
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • RBC Canadian Open
MacIntyre, Robert
+1.08
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Lowry, ShaneMacIntyre, Robert
-110
Best Odds
+4.4%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
MacIntyre, Robert
596673
Lowry, Shane
758289
Tournament Context
Event
RBC Canadian Open
Course
TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
Field
147 players
Player Profile — MacIntyre, Robert
Strokes Gained
+1.08/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
neutral
+0.106 SG adj
Expected Finish
66th / 147
Matchup Analysis
MacIntyre, Robert
+1.08 SG
EF 66th
Skill Gap
-0.13 SG/round
tight edge for Lowry, Shane
Lowry, Shane
+1.18 SG
EF 82th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
56.3%
Books Say
52.4%
Edge
+4.4%
MacIntyre, Robert vs Lowry, Shane: Model gives MacIntyre, Robert 56.3% win probability vs 52.4% implied (+7.4% edge). Skill advantage: -0.13 SG/round. Expected finish: 66. AI: poor recent form; poor course history.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
MacIntyre, Robert 56.3%
+4.4 pts
Spread
-0.1
+4.4 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →