MacIntyre, Robert vs Rose, Justin prediction for June 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Rose, Justin 34 - MacIntyre, Robert 78. MacIntyre, Robert is favored with a 58.5% win probability. The spread is 0.01.
Rose, Justin
+1.20
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • U.S. Open
MacIntyre, Robert
+1.13
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Rose, JustinMacIntyre, Robert
-110
Best Odds
+11.7%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
MacIntyre, Robert
717885
Rose, Justin
273441
Tournament Context
Event
U.S. Open
Course
Shinnecock Hills Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — MacIntyre, Robert
Strokes Gained
+1.13/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
good
+0.245 SG adj
Expected Finish
78th / 156
Matchup Analysis
MacIntyre, Robert
+1.13 SG
EF 78th
Skill Gap
+0.01 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Rose, Justin
+1.20 SG
EF 34th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
58.5%
Books Say
52.4%
Edge
+11.7%
MacIntyre, Robert vs Rose, Justin: Model gives MacIntyre, Robert 58.5% win probability vs 52.4% implied (+11.7% edge). Expected finish: 78.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
MacIntyre, Robert 58.5%
+11.7 pts
Spread
+0.0
+11.7 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →