McCarthy, Denny vs Hossler, Beau prediction for June 9, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Hossler, Beau 0 - McCarthy, Denny 88. McCarthy, Denny is favored with a 62.9% win probability. The spread is 0.53.
Hossler, Beau
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • RBC Canadian Open
McCarthy, Denny
+0.59
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Hossler, BeauMcCarthy, Denny
-126
Best Odds
+12.8%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Tournament Context
Event
RBC Canadian Open
Course
TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
Field
147 players
Player Profile — McCarthy, Denny
Strokes Gained
+0.59/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.118 SG adj
Expected Finish
88th / 147
Matchup Analysis
McCarthy, Denny
+0.59 SG
EF 88th
Skill Gap
+0.53 SG/round
meaningful edge for McCarthy, Denny
Hossler, Beau
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
62.9%
Books Say
55.8%
Edge
+12.8%
McCarthy, Denny vs Hossler, Beau: Model gives McCarthy, Denny 62.9% win probability vs 55.8% implied (+12.8% edge). Skill advantage: +0.52 SG/round. Expected finish: 88.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
McCarthy, Denny 62.9%
+12.8 pts
Spread
+0.5
+12.8 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →