PGA Tour Golf

McGreevy, Max vs Bezuidenhout, Christiaan Prediction

June 9, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

McGreevy, Max vs Bezuidenhout, Christiaan prediction for June 9, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Bezuidenhout, Christiaan 0 - McGreevy, Max 90. McGreevy, Max is favored with a 53.4% win probability. The spread is -0.37.

Bezuidenhout, Christiaan
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • RBC Canadian Open
McGreevy, Max
+0.32
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
46.6%
53.4%
Bezuidenhout, ChristiaanMcGreevy, Max
-102
Best Odds
+5.7%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
FINALMcGreevy, Max (T17) def Bezuidenhout, Christiaan (T30)

Tournament Context

Event
RBC Canadian Open
Course
TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
Field
147 players

Player Profile — McGreevy, Max

Strokes Gained
+0.32/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.000 SG adj
Expected Finish
90th / 147

Matchup Analysis

McGreevy, Max
+0.32 SG
EF 90th
Skill Gap
-0.37 SG/round
tight edge for Bezuidenhout, Christiaan
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
53.4%
Books Say
50.5%
Edge
+5.7%

McGreevy, Max vs Bezuidenhout, Christiaan: Model gives McGreevy, Max 53.4% win probability vs 50.5% implied (+5.7% edge). Skill advantage: -0.37 SG/round. Expected finish: 90.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
McGreevy, Max 53.4%
+5.7 pts
Spread
-0.4
+5.7 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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