McNealy, Maverick vs English, Harris prediction for June 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects English, Harris 35 - McNealy, Maverick 82. McNealy, Maverick is favored with a 57.3% win probability. The spread is 0.13.
English, Harris
+1.25
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • U.S. Open
McNealy, Maverick
+1.46
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
English, HarrisMcNealy, Maverick
-112
Best Odds
+8.5%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
McNealy, Maverick
758289
English, Harris
283542
Tournament Context
Event
U.S. Open
Course
Shinnecock Hills Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — McNealy, Maverick
Strokes Gained
+1.46/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
poor
-0.157 SG adj
Expected Finish
82th / 156
Matchup Analysis
McNealy, Maverick
+1.46 SG
EF 82th
Skill Gap
+0.13 SG/round
tight edge for McNealy, Maverick
English, Harris
+1.25 SG
EF 35th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
57.3%
Books Say
52.8%
Edge
+8.5%
McNealy, Maverick vs English, Harris: Model gives McNealy, Maverick 57.3% win probability vs 52.8% implied (+8.5% edge). Skill advantage: +0.13 SG/round. Expected finish: 82.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
McNealy, Maverick 57.3%
+8.5 pts
Spread
+0.1
+8.5 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →