McNealy, Maverick vs Scott, Adam prediction for May 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Scott, Adam 72 - McNealy, Maverick 30. McNealy, Maverick is favored with a 57.5% win probability. The spread is 0.22.
Scott, Adam
+1.13
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Cadillac Championship
McNealy, Maverick
+1.37
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Scott, AdamMcNealy, Maverick
-115
Best Odds
+7.4%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
McNealy, Maverick
233037
Scott, Adam
657279
Tournament Context
Event
Cadillac Championship
Course
Trump National Doral (Blue Monster)
Field
72 players
Player Profile — McNealy, Maverick
Strokes Gained
+1.37/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
neutral
+0.066 SG adj
Expected Finish
30th / 72
Matchup Analysis
McNealy, Maverick
+1.37 SG
EF 30th
Skill Gap
+0.22 SG/round
tight edge for McNealy, Maverick
Scott, Adam
+1.13 SG
EF 72th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
57.5%
Books Say
53.5%
Edge
+7.4%
McNealy, Maverick vs Scott, Adam: Model gives McNealy, Maverick 57.4% win probability vs 53.5% implied (+7.4% edge). Skill advantage: +0.22 SG/round. Expected finish: 30.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
McNealy, Maverick 57.5%
+7.4 pts
Spread
+0.2
+7.4 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →