Meissner, Mac vs Hisatsune, Ryo prediction for May 28, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Hisatsune, Ryo 40 - Meissner, Mac 55. Meissner, Mac is favored with a 53.9% win probability. The spread is -0.01.
Hisatsune, Ryo
+0.58
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Charles Schwab Challenge
Meissner, Mac
+0.65
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Hisatsune, RyoMeissner, Mac
+100
Best Odds
+7.7%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Meissner, Mac
485562
Hisatsune, Ryo
334047
Tournament Context
Event
Charles Schwab Challenge
Course
Colonial CC
Field
132 players
Wind
10 mph
Temp
91°F
Conditions
harder (+0.4)
Player Profile — Meissner, Mac
Strokes Gained
+0.65/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
excellent
+0.645 SG adj
Expected Finish
55th / 132
Matchup Analysis
Meissner, Mac
+0.65 SG
EF 55th
Skill Gap
-0.01 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Hisatsune, Ryo
+0.58 SG
EF 40th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
53.9%
Books Say
50.0%
Edge
+7.7%
Meissner, Mac vs Hisatsune, Ryo: Model gives Meissner, Mac 53.9% win probability vs 50.0% implied (+7.7% edge). Expected finish: 55.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Meissner, Mac 53.9%
+7.7 pts
Spread
-0.0
+7.7 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →