Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus vs Yu, Kevin prediction for May 4, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Yu, Kevin 88 - Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus 87. Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus is favored with a 58.9% win probability. The spread is 0.1.
Yu, Kevin
+0.02
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus
+0.11
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Yu, KevinNeergaard-Petersen, Rasmus
-121
Best Odds
+7.6%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus
808794
Yu, Kevin
818895
Tournament Context
Event
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Course
TPC Craig Ranch
Field
147 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
82°F
Conditions
harder (+0.7)
Player Profile — Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus
Strokes Gained
+0.11/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
good
+0.178 SG adj
Expected Finish
87th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus
+0.11 SG
EF 87th
Skill Gap
+0.10 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Yu, Kevin
+0.02 SG
EF 88th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
58.9%
Books Say
54.8%
Edge
+7.6%
Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus vs Yu, Kevin: Model gives Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus 58.9% win probability vs 54.8% implied (+7.6% edge). Expected finish: 87.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus 58.9%
+7.6 pts
Spread
+0.1
+7.6 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →