PGA Tour Golf

Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus vs Yu, Kevin Prediction

May 19, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus vs Yu, Kevin prediction for May 19, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Yu, Kevin 87 - Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus 87. Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus is favored with a 58.8% win probability. The spread is 0.1.

Yu, Kevin
+0.02
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus
+0.11
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
41.2%
58.8%
Yu, KevinNeergaard-Petersen, Rasmus
-121
Best Odds
+7.4%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
FINALYu, Kevin (T5) def Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus (--)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus
808794
Yu, Kevin
808794

Tournament Context

Event
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Course
TPC Craig Ranch
Field
147 players
Wind
15 mph
Temp
81°F
Conditions
harder (+0.8)

Player Profile — Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus

Strokes Gained
+0.11/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
good
+0.178 SG adj
Expected Finish
87th / 147

Matchup Analysis

Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus
+0.11 SG
EF 87th
Skill Gap
+0.10 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Yu, Kevin
+0.02 SG
EF 87th · Tour Avg

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
58.8%
Books Say
54.8%
Edge
+7.4%

Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus vs Yu, Kevin: Model gives Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus 58.8% win probability vs 54.8% implied (+7.4% edge). Expected finish: 87.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus 58.8%
+7.4 pts
Spread
+0.1
+7.4 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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