PGA Tour Golf

Pendrith, Taylor vs Fox, Ryan Prediction

June 9, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Pendrith, Taylor vs Fox, Ryan prediction for June 9, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Fox, Ryan 96 - Pendrith, Taylor 87. Pendrith, Taylor is favored with a 56.8% win probability. The spread is -0.31.

Fox, Ryan
+0.81
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • RBC Canadian Open
Pendrith, Taylor
+0.37
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
43.2%
56.8%
Fox, RyanPendrith, Taylor
-103
Best Odds
+11.9%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
FINALFox, Ryan (T16) def Pendrith, Taylor (--)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Pendrith, Taylor
808794
Fox, Ryan
8996103

Tournament Context

Event
RBC Canadian Open
Course
TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
Field
147 players

Player Profile — Pendrith, Taylor

Strokes Gained
+0.37/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.113 SG adj
Expected Finish
87th / 147

Matchup Analysis

Pendrith, Taylor
+0.37 SG
EF 87th
Skill Gap
-0.31 SG/round
tight edge for Fox, Ryan
Fox, Ryan
+0.81 SG
EF 96th · Above Avg

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
56.8%
Books Say
50.7%
Edge
+11.9%

Pendrith, Taylor vs Fox, Ryan: Model gives Pendrith, Taylor 56.8% win probability vs 50.7% implied (+11.9% edge). Skill advantage: -0.31 SG/round. Expected finish: 87.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Pendrith, Taylor 56.8%
+11.9 pts
Spread
-0.3
+11.9 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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