PGA Tour Golf

Pendrith, Taylor vs Fox, Ryan Prediction

June 10, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Pendrith, Taylor vs Fox, Ryan prediction for June 10, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Fox, Ryan 95 - Pendrith, Taylor 85. Pendrith, Taylor is favored with a 54.7% win probability. The spread is -0.31.

Fox, Ryan
+0.81
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • RBC Canadian Open
Pendrith, Taylor
+0.37
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
45.3%
54.7%
Fox, RyanPendrith, Taylor
-102
Best Odds
+8.3%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
FINALFox, Ryan (T16) def Pendrith, Taylor (--)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Pendrith, Taylor
788592
Fox, Ryan
8895102

Tournament Context

Event
RBC Canadian Open
Course
TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
Field
147 players

Player Profile — Pendrith, Taylor

Strokes Gained
+0.37/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
good
+0.190 SG adj
Expected Finish
85th / 147

Matchup Analysis

Pendrith, Taylor
+0.37 SG
EF 85th
Skill Gap
-0.31 SG/round
tight edge for Fox, Ryan
Fox, Ryan
+0.81 SG
EF 95th · Above Avg

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
54.7%
Books Say
50.5%
Edge
+8.3%

Pendrith, Taylor vs Fox, Ryan: Model gives Pendrith, Taylor 54.7% win probability vs 50.5% implied (+8.3% edge). Skill advantage: -0.31 SG/round. Expected finish: 85.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Pendrith, Taylor 54.7%
+8.3 pts
Spread
-0.3
+8.3 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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