PGA Tour Golf

Pendrith, Taylor vs Im, Sungjae Prediction

May 11, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Pendrith, Taylor vs Im, Sungjae prediction for May 11, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Im, Sungjae 78 - Pendrith, Taylor 62. Pendrith, Taylor is favored with a 60.4% win probability. The spread is 0.16.

Im, Sungjae
+0.26
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Pendrith, Taylor
+0.42
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
39.6%
60.4%
Im, SungjaePendrith, Taylor
-114
Best Odds
+13.4%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
FINALPendrith, Taylor (T44) def Im, Sungjae (CUT)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Pendrith, Taylor
556269
Im, Sungjae
717885

Tournament Context

Event
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Course
TPC Craig Ranch
Field
147 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
82°F
Conditions
harder (+0.7)

Player Profile — Pendrith, Taylor

Strokes Gained
+0.42/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
excellent
+0.753 SG adj
Expected Finish
62th / 147

Matchup Analysis

Pendrith, Taylor
+0.42 SG
EF 62th
Skill Gap
+0.16 SG/round
tight edge for Pendrith, Taylor
Im, Sungjae
+0.26 SG
EF 78th · Tour Avg

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
60.4%
Books Say
53.3%
Edge
+13.4%

Pendrith, Taylor vs Im, Sungjae: Model gives Pendrith, Taylor 60.4% win probability vs 53.3% implied (+13.4% edge). Skill advantage: +0.16 SG/round. Expected finish: 62.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Pendrith, Taylor 60.4%
+13.4 pts
Spread
+0.2
+13.4 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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