Pendrith, Taylor vs Olesen, Thorbjorn prediction for May 19, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Olesen, Thorbjorn 77 - Pendrith, Taylor 60. Pendrith, Taylor is favored with a 62.5% win probability. The spread is -0.11.
Olesen, Thorbjorn
+0.52
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Pendrith, Taylor
+0.42
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Olesen, ThorbjornPendrith, Taylor
-138
Best Odds
+7.8%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Pendrith, Taylor
536067
Olesen, Thorbjorn
707784
Tournament Context
Event
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Course
TPC Craig Ranch
Field
147 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
81°F
Conditions
harder (+0.8)
Player Profile — Pendrith, Taylor
Strokes Gained
+0.42/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
excellent
+0.753 SG adj
Expected Finish
60th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Pendrith, Taylor
+0.42 SG
EF 60th
Skill Gap
-0.11 SG/round
tight edge for Olesen, Thorbjorn
Olesen, Thorbjorn
+0.52 SG
EF 77th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
62.5%
Books Say
58.0%
Edge
+7.8%
Pendrith, Taylor vs Olesen, Thorbjorn: Model gives Pendrith, Taylor 62.5% win probability vs 58.0% implied (+7.8% edge). Skill advantage: -0.11 SG/round. Expected finish: 60.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Pendrith, Taylor 62.5%
+7.8 pts
Spread
-0.1
+7.8 pts
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →