Pendrith, Taylor vs Poston, J.T. prediction for May 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Poston, J.T. 59 - Pendrith, Taylor 36. Pendrith, Taylor is favored with a 68.9% win probability. The spread is -0.17.
Poston, J.T.
+0.50
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Truist Championship
Pendrith, Taylor
+0.33
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Poston, J.T.Pendrith, Taylor
-121
Best Odds
+25.9%
Edge
2.0u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Pendrith, Taylor
293643
Poston, J.T.
525966
Tournament Context
Event
Truist Championship
Course
Quail Hollow Club
Field
72 players
Wind
12 mph
Temp
76°F
Conditions
harder (+0.6)
Player Profile — Pendrith, Taylor
Strokes Gained
+0.33/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
excellent
+0.618 SG adj
Expected Finish
36th / 72
Matchup Analysis
Pendrith, Taylor
+0.33 SG
EF 36th
Skill Gap
-0.17 SG/round
tight edge for Poston, J.T.
Poston, J.T.
+0.50 SG
EF 59th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
68.9%
Books Say
54.8%
Edge
+25.9%
Pendrith, Taylor vs Poston, J.T.: Model gives Pendrith, Taylor 68.9% win probability vs 54.8% implied (+25.9% edge). Skill advantage: -0.17 SG/round. Expected finish: 36.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Pendrith, Taylor 68.9%
+25.9 pts
Spread
-0.2
+25.9 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →