PGA Tour Golf

Poston, J.T. vs Putnam, Andrew Prediction

May 26, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Poston, J.T. vs Putnam, Andrew prediction for May 26, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Putnam, Andrew 0 - Poston, J.T. 64. Poston, J.T. is favored with a 58.6% win probability. The spread is -0.07.

Putnam, Andrew
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • Charles Schwab Challenge
Poston, J.T.
+0.52
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
41.4%
58.6%
Putnam, AndrewPoston, J.T.
-101
Best Odds
+16.5%
Edge
1.5u ELITE
Sizing
FINALPutnam, Andrew (T1) def Poston, J.T. (T54)

Tournament Context

Event
Charles Schwab Challenge
Course
Colonial CC
Field
132 players
Wind
8 mph
Temp
85°F
Conditions
harder (+0.3)

Player Profile — Poston, J.T.

Strokes Gained
+0.52/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
excellent
+0.400 SG adj
Expected Finish
64th / 132

Matchup Analysis

Poston, J.T.
+0.52 SG
EF 64th
Skill Gap
-0.07 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Putnam, Andrew
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
58.6%
Books Say
50.2%
Edge
+16.5%

Poston, J.T. vs Putnam, Andrew: Model gives Poston, J.T. 58.6% win probability vs 50.2% implied (+16.5% edge). Expected finish: 64.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Poston, J.T. 58.6%
+16.5 pts
Spread
-0.1
+16.5 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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