PGA Tour Golf

Poston, J.T. vs Putnam, Andrew Prediction

May 27, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Poston, J.T. vs Putnam, Andrew prediction for May 27, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Putnam, Andrew 143 - Poston, J.T. 63. Poston, J.T. is favored with a 58.8% win probability. The spread is -0.07.

Putnam, Andrew
+0.43
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • Charles Schwab Challenge
Poston, J.T.
+0.52
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
41.2%
58.8%
Putnam, AndrewPoston, J.T.
+100
Best Odds
+17.6%
Edge
1.5u ELITE
Sizing

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Poston, J.T.
566370
Putnam, Andrew
136143150

Tournament Context

Event
Charles Schwab Challenge
Course
Colonial CC
Field
132 players
Wind
10 mph
Temp
86°F
Conditions
harder (+0.4)

Player Profile — Poston, J.T.

Strokes Gained
+0.52/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
excellent
+0.400 SG adj
Expected Finish
63th / 132

Matchup Analysis

Poston, J.T.
+0.52 SG
EF 63th
Skill Gap
-0.07 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Putnam, Andrew
+0.43 SG
EF 143th · Tour Avg

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
58.8%
Books Say
50.0%
Edge
+17.6%

Poston, J.T. vs Putnam, Andrew: Model gives Poston, J.T. 58.8% win probability vs 50.0% implied (+17.6% edge). Expected finish: 63.

AI Intelligence Analysis

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AI Intelligence Analysis
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Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Poston, J.T. 58.8%
+17.6 pts
Spread
-0.1
+17.6 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded Golf 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the Golf 2026 season report card.

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