PGA Tour Golf

Poston, J.T. vs Putnam, Andrew Prediction

May 28, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Poston, J.T. vs Putnam, Andrew prediction for May 28, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Putnam, Andrew 0 - Poston, J.T. 64. Poston, J.T. is favored with a 58.2% win probability. The spread is -0.07.

Putnam, Andrew
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • Charles Schwab Challenge
Poston, J.T.
+0.52
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
41.8%
58.2%
Putnam, AndrewPoston, J.T.
+100
Best Odds
+16.3%
Edge
1.5u ELITE
Sizing
FINALPutnam, Andrew (T1) def Poston, J.T. (T54)

Tournament Context

Event
Charles Schwab Challenge
Course
Colonial CC
Field
132 players
Wind
10 mph
Temp
91°F
Conditions
harder (+0.4)

Player Profile — Poston, J.T.

Strokes Gained
+0.52/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
excellent
+0.400 SG adj
Expected Finish
64th / 132

Matchup Analysis

Poston, J.T.
+0.52 SG
EF 64th
Skill Gap
-0.07 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Putnam, Andrew
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
58.2%
Books Say
50.0%
Edge
+16.3%

Poston, J.T. vs Putnam, Andrew: Model gives Poston, J.T. 58.2% win probability vs 50.0% implied (+16.3% edge). Expected finish: 64.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Poston, J.T. 58.2%
+16.3 pts
Spread
-0.1
+16.3 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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