Potgieter, Aldrich vs Hoey, Rico prediction for June 10, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Hoey, Rico 0 - Potgieter, Aldrich 93. Potgieter, Aldrich is favored with a 52.4% win probability. The spread is -0.38.
Hoey, Rico
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • RBC Canadian Open
Potgieter, Aldrich
+0.06
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Hoey, RicoPotgieter, Aldrich
+115
Best Odds
+12.6%
Edge
1.0u HIGH
Sizing
Tournament Context
Event
RBC Canadian Open
Course
TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
Field
147 players
Player Profile — Potgieter, Aldrich
Strokes Gained
+0.06/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
good
+0.152 SG adj
Expected Finish
93th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Potgieter, Aldrich
+0.06 SG
EF 93th
Skill Gap
-0.38 SG/round
tight edge for Hoey, Rico
Hoey, Rico
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
52.4%
Books Say
46.5%
Edge
+12.6%
Potgieter, Aldrich vs Hoey, Rico: Model gives Potgieter, Aldrich 52.4% win probability vs 46.5% implied (+12.6% edge). Skill advantage: -0.38 SG/round. Expected finish: 93.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Potgieter, Aldrich 52.4%
+12.6 pts
Spread
-0.4
+12.6 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →