Puig, David vs Clark, Wyndham prediction for May 9, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Clark, Wyndham 104 - Puig, David 93. Puig, David is favored with a 63.4% win probability. The spread is 0.25.
Clark, Wyndham
+0.55
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • PGA Championship
Puig, David
+0.81
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Clark, WyndhamPuig, David
-124
Best Odds
+14.6%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Puig, David
8693100
Clark, Wyndham
97104111
Tournament Context
Event
PGA Championship
Course
Aronimink Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — Puig, David
Strokes Gained
+0.81/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
good
+0.224 SG adj
Expected Finish
93th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Puig, David
+0.81 SG
EF 93th
Skill Gap
+0.25 SG/round
tight edge for Puig, David
Clark, Wyndham
+0.55 SG
EF 104th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
63.4%
Books Say
55.4%
Edge
+14.6%
Puig, David vs Clark, Wyndham: Model gives Puig, David 63.4% win probability vs 55.4% implied (+14.6% edge). Skill advantage: +0.25 SG/round. Expected finish: 93.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Puig, David 63.4%
+14.6 pts
Spread
+0.2
+14.6 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →