PGA Tour Golf

Puig, David vs English, Harris Prediction

June 17, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Puig, David vs English, Harris prediction for June 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects English, Harris 35 - Puig, David 91. Puig, David is favored with a 52.9% win probability. The spread is -0.37.

English, Harris
+1.25
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • U.S. Open
Puig, David
+0.96
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
47.1%
52.9%
English, HarrisPuig, David
+112
Best Odds
+12.3%
Edge
1.0u HIGH
Sizing
FINALEnglish, Harris (T53) def Puig, David (T118)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Puig, David
849198
English, Harris
283542

Tournament Context

Event
U.S. Open
Course
Shinnecock Hills Golf Club
Field
156 players

Player Profile — Puig, David

Strokes Gained
+0.96/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.002 SG adj
Expected Finish
91th / 156

Matchup Analysis

Puig, David
+0.96 SG
EF 91th
Skill Gap
-0.37 SG/round
tight edge for English, Harris
English, Harris
+1.25 SG
EF 35th · Tour Elite

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
52.9%
Books Say
47.2%
Edge
+12.3%

Puig, David vs English, Harris: Model gives Puig, David 53.0% win probability vs 47.2% implied (+12.3% edge). Skill advantage: -0.37 SG/round. Expected finish: 91.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Puig, David 52.9%
+12.3 pts
Spread
-0.4
+12.3 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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