Putnam, Andrew vs Homa, Max prediction for May 6, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Homa, Max 27 - Putnam, Andrew 20. Putnam, Andrew is favored with a 60.3% win probability. The spread is 0.11.
Homa, Max
+0.45
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Truist Championship
Putnam, Andrew
+0.56
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Homa, MaxPutnam, Andrew
+110
Best Odds
+26.6%
Edge
2.0u ELITE
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Putnam, Andrew
132027
Homa, Max
202734
Tournament Context
Event
Truist Championship
Course
Quail Hollow Club
Field
72 players
Wind
12 mph
Temp
77°F
Conditions
harder (+0.6)
Player Profile — Putnam, Andrew
Strokes Gained
+0.56/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.216 SG adj
Expected Finish
20th / 72
Matchup Analysis
Putnam, Andrew
+0.56 SG
EF 20th
Skill Gap
+0.11 SG/round
tight edge for Putnam, Andrew
Homa, Max
+0.45 SG
EF 27th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
60.3%
Books Say
47.6%
Edge
+26.6%
Putnam, Andrew vs Homa, Max: Model gives Putnam, Andrew 60.3% win probability vs 47.6% implied (+26.6% edge). Skill advantage: +0.11 SG/round. Expected finish: 20.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Putnam, Andrew 60.3%
+26.6 pts
Spread
+0.1
+26.6 pts
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →