PGA Tour Golf

Reitan, Kristoffer vs Conners, Corey Prediction

June 2, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Reitan, Kristoffer vs Conners, Corey prediction for June 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Conners, Corey 83 - Reitan, Kristoffer 42. Reitan, Kristoffer is favored with a 51.7% win probability. The spread is 0.12.

Conners, Corey
+0.48
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday
Reitan, Kristoffer
+0.93
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
48.3%
51.7%
Conners, CoreyReitan, Kristoffer
+109
Best Odds
+8.1%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
FINALConners, Corey (T44) def Reitan, Kristoffer (T55)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Reitan, Kristoffer
354249
Conners, Corey
768390

Tournament Context

Event
the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday
Course
Muirfield Village GC
Field
72 players
Wind
11 mph
Temp
78°F
Conditions
harder (+0.5)

Player Profile — Reitan, Kristoffer

Strokes Gained
+0.93/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.075 SG adj
Expected Finish
42th / 72

Matchup Analysis

Reitan, Kristoffer
+0.93 SG
EF 42th
Skill Gap
+0.12 SG/round
tight edge for Reitan, Kristoffer
Conners, Corey
+0.48 SG
EF 83th · Tour Avg

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
51.7%
Books Say
47.9%
Edge
+8.1%

Reitan, Kristoffer vs Conners, Corey: Model gives Reitan, Kristoffer 51.7% win probability vs 47.8% implied (+8.1% edge). Skill advantage: +0.12 SG/round. Expected finish: 42.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Reitan, Kristoffer 51.7%
+8.1 pts
Spread
+0.1
+8.1 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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