Reitan, Kristoffer vs Rose, Justin prediction for June 11, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Rose, Justin 83 - Reitan, Kristoffer 64. Reitan, Kristoffer is favored with a 56.0% win probability. The spread is -0.08.
Rose, Justin
+1.10
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • RBC Canadian Open
Reitan, Kristoffer
+1.18
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Rose, JustinReitan, Kristoffer
-106
Best Odds
+8.8%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Reitan, Kristoffer
576471
Rose, Justin
768390
Tournament Context
Event
RBC Canadian Open
Course
TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
Field
147 players
Player Profile — Reitan, Kristoffer
Strokes Gained
+1.18/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
neutral
+0.062 SG adj
Expected Finish
64th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Reitan, Kristoffer
+1.18 SG
EF 64th
Skill Gap
-0.08 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Rose, Justin
+1.10 SG
EF 83th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
56.0%
Books Say
51.5%
Edge
+8.8%
Reitan, Kristoffer vs Rose, Justin: Model gives Reitan, Kristoffer 56.0% win probability vs 51.5% implied (+8.8% edge). Expected finish: 64.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Reitan, Kristoffer 56.0%
+8.8 pts
Spread
-0.1
+8.8 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →