Reitan, Kristoffer vs Straka, Sepp prediction for June 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Straka, Sepp 40 - Reitan, Kristoffer 86. Reitan, Kristoffer is favored with a 61.7% win probability. The spread is 0.19.
Straka, Sepp
+0.73
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • U.S. Open
Reitan, Kristoffer
+1.02
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Straka, SeppReitan, Kristoffer
-130
Best Odds
+9.1%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Reitan, Kristoffer
798693
Straka, Sepp
334047
Tournament Context
Event
U.S. Open
Course
Shinnecock Hills Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — Reitan, Kristoffer
Strokes Gained
+1.02/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
neutral
+0.097 SG adj
Expected Finish
86th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Reitan, Kristoffer
+1.02 SG
EF 86th
Skill Gap
+0.19 SG/round
tight edge for Reitan, Kristoffer
Straka, Sepp
+0.73 SG
EF 40th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
61.7%
Books Say
56.5%
Edge
+9.1%
Reitan, Kristoffer vs Straka, Sepp: Model gives Reitan, Kristoffer 61.7% win probability vs 56.5% implied (+9.1% edge). Skill advantage: +0.19 SG/round. Expected finish: 86.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Reitan, Kristoffer 61.7%
+9.1 pts
Spread
+0.2
+9.1 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →