Reitan, Kristoffer vs Woodland, Gary prediction for May 5, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Woodland, Gary 95 - Reitan, Kristoffer 98. Reitan, Kristoffer is favored with a 57.4% win probability. The spread is 0.13.
Woodland, Gary
+0.75
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • PGA Championship
Reitan, Kristoffer
+0.88
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Woodland, GaryReitan, Kristoffer
-111
Best Odds
+9.0%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Reitan, Kristoffer
9198105
Woodland, Gary
8895102
Tournament Context
Event
PGA Championship
Course
Aronimink Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — Reitan, Kristoffer
Strokes Gained
+0.88/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.076 SG adj
Expected Finish
98th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Reitan, Kristoffer
+0.88 SG
EF 98th
Skill Gap
+0.13 SG/round
tight edge for Reitan, Kristoffer
Woodland, Gary
+0.75 SG
EF 95th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
57.4%
Books Say
52.6%
Edge
+9.0%
Reitan, Kristoffer vs Woodland, Gary: Model gives Reitan, Kristoffer 57.4% win probability vs 52.6% implied (+9.0% edge). Skill advantage: +0.13 SG/round. Expected finish: 98.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Reitan, Kristoffer 57.4%
+9.0 pts
Spread
+0.1
+9.0 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →