Reitan, Kristoffer vs Woodland, Gary prediction for May 7, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Woodland, Gary 95 - Reitan, Kristoffer 96. Reitan, Kristoffer is favored with a 58.1% win probability. The spread is 0.13.
Woodland, Gary
+0.75
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • PGA Championship
Reitan, Kristoffer
+0.88
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Woodland, GaryReitan, Kristoffer
-120
Best Odds
+6.4%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Reitan, Kristoffer
8996103
Woodland, Gary
8895102
Tournament Context
Event
PGA Championship
Course
Aronimink Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — Reitan, Kristoffer
Strokes Gained
+0.88/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.076 SG adj
Expected Finish
96th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Reitan, Kristoffer
+0.88 SG
EF 96th
Skill Gap
+0.13 SG/round
tight edge for Reitan, Kristoffer
Woodland, Gary
+0.75 SG
EF 95th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
58.1%
Books Say
54.5%
Edge
+6.4%
Reitan, Kristoffer vs Woodland, Gary: Model gives Reitan, Kristoffer 58.0% win probability vs 54.5% implied (+6.4% edge). Skill advantage: +0.13 SG/round. Expected finish: 96.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Reitan, Kristoffer 58.1%
+6.4 pts
Spread
+0.1
+6.4 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →