Scheffler, Scottie vs Kim, Si Woo prediction for May 16, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Kim, Si Woo 39 - Scheffler, Scottie 7. Scheffler, Scottie is favored with a 82.2% win probability. The spread is 1.51.
Kim, Si Woo
+1.32
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Scheffler, Scottie
+2.82
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Kim, Si WooScheffler, Scottie
-337
Best Odds
+6.6%
Edge
1.5u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Scheffler, Scottie
0714
Kim, Si Woo
323946
Tournament Context
Event
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Course
TPC Craig Ranch
Field
147 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
81°F
Conditions
harder (+0.7)
Player Profile — Scheffler, Scottie
Strokes Gained
+2.82/round
Elite
Course Fit
excellent
+1.188 SG adj
Expected Finish
7th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Scheffler, Scottie
+2.82 SG
EF 7th
Skill Gap
+1.51 SG/round
large edge for Scheffler, Scottie
Kim, Si Woo
+1.32 SG
EF 39th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
82.2%
Books Say
77.1%
Edge
+6.6%
Scheffler, Scottie vs Kim, Si Woo: Model gives Scheffler, Scottie 82.2% win probability vs 77.1% implied (+6.6% edge). Skill advantage: +1.51 SG/round. Expected finish: 7.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Scheffler, Scottie 82.2%
+6.6 pts
Spread
+1.5
+6.6 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →