Smotherman, Austin vs Yu, Kevin prediction for June 10, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Yu, Kevin 0 - Smotherman, Austin 93. Smotherman, Austin is favored with a 60.3% win probability. The spread is 0.1.
Yu, Kevin
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • RBC Canadian Open
Smotherman, Austin
+0.16
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Yu, KevinSmotherman, Austin
-114
Best Odds
+13.2%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Tournament Context
Event
RBC Canadian Open
Course
TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
Field
147 players
Player Profile — Smotherman, Austin
Strokes Gained
+0.16/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.102 SG adj
Expected Finish
93th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Smotherman, Austin
+0.16 SG
EF 93th
Skill Gap
+0.10 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Yu, Kevin
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
60.3%
Books Say
53.3%
Edge
+13.2%
Smotherman, Austin vs Yu, Kevin: Model gives Smotherman, Austin 60.3% win probability vs 53.3% implied (+13.2% edge). Expected finish: 93.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Smotherman, Austin 60.3%
+13.2 pts
Spread
+0.1
+13.2 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →