Spieth, Jordan vs Gotterup, Chris prediction for April 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Gotterup, Chris 23 - Spieth, Jordan 20. Spieth, Jordan is favored with a 56.0% win probability. The spread is -0.1.
Gotterup, Chris
+1.17
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Truist Championship
Spieth, Jordan
+1.08
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Gotterup, ChrisSpieth, Jordan
+110
Best Odds
+17.7%
Edge
1.5u ELITE
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Spieth, Jordan
132027
Gotterup, Chris
162330
Tournament Context
Event
Truist Championship
Course
Quail Hollow Club
Field
72 players
Wind
11 mph
Temp
75°F
Conditions
harder (+0.5)
Player Profile — Spieth, Jordan
Strokes Gained
+1.08/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
poor
-0.144 SG adj
Expected Finish
20th / 72
Matchup Analysis
Spieth, Jordan
+1.08 SG
EF 20th
Skill Gap
-0.10 SG/round
tight edge for Gotterup, Chris
Gotterup, Chris
+1.17 SG
EF 23th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
56.0%
Books Say
47.6%
Edge
+17.7%
Spieth, Jordan vs Gotterup, Chris: Model gives Spieth, Jordan 56.0% win probability vs 47.6% implied (+17.7% edge). Skill advantage: -0.10 SG/round. Expected finish: 20.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Spieth, Jordan 56.0%
+17.7 pts
Spread
-0.1
+17.7 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →