PGA Tour Golf

Straka, Sepp vs English, Harris Prediction

April 29, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Straka, Sepp vs English, Harris prediction for April 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects English, Harris 37 - Straka, Sepp 24. Straka, Sepp is favored with a 61.4% win probability. The spread is -0.03.

English, Harris
+1.17
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • Truist Championship
Straka, Sepp
+1.13
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
38.6%
61.4%
English, HarrisStraka, Sepp
-104
Best Odds
+20.5%
Edge
1.5u ELITE
Sizing
FINALEnglish, Harris (T18) def Straka, Sepp (CUT)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Straka, Sepp
172431
English, Harris
303744

Tournament Context

Event
Truist Championship
Course
Quail Hollow Club
Field
72 players
Wind
12 mph
Temp
76°F
Conditions
harder (+0.6)

Player Profile — Straka, Sepp

Strokes Gained
+1.13/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
excellent
+0.754 SG adj
Expected Finish
24th / 72

Matchup Analysis

Straka, Sepp
+1.13 SG
EF 24th
Skill Gap
-0.03 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
English, Harris
+1.17 SG
EF 37th · Tour Elite

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
61.4%
Books Say
51.0%
Edge
+20.5%

Straka, Sepp vs English, Harris: Model gives Straka, Sepp 61.4% win probability vs 51.0% implied (+20.5% edge). Expected finish: 24.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Straka, Sepp 61.4%
+20.5 pts
Spread
-0.0
+20.5 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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