Theegala, Sahith vs Finau, Tony prediction for June 9, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Finau, Tony 0 - Theegala, Sahith 74. Theegala, Sahith is favored with a 58.1% win probability. The spread is 0.27.
Finau, Tony
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • RBC Canadian Open
Theegala, Sahith
+0.58
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Finau, TonyTheegala, Sahith
-110
Best Odds
+10.9%
Edge
1.0u HIGH
Sizing
Tournament Context
Event
RBC Canadian Open
Course
TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
Field
147 players
Player Profile — Theegala, Sahith
Strokes Gained
+0.58/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
excellent
+0.388 SG adj
Expected Finish
74th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Theegala, Sahith
+0.58 SG
EF 74th
Skill Gap
+0.27 SG/round
tight edge for Theegala, Sahith
Finau, Tony
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
58.1%
Books Say
52.4%
Edge
+10.9%
Theegala, Sahith vs Finau, Tony: Model gives Theegala, Sahith 58.1% win probability vs 52.4% implied (+10.9% edge). Skill advantage: +0.27 SG/round. Expected finish: 74.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Theegala, Sahith 58.1%
+10.9 pts
Spread
+0.3
+10.9 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →