PGA Tour Golf

Theegala, Sahith vs Harman, Brian Prediction

May 26, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Theegala, Sahith vs Harman, Brian prediction for May 26, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Harman, Brian 41 - Theegala, Sahith 72. Theegala, Sahith is favored with a 51.8% win probability. The spread is -0.02.

Harman, Brian
+0.67
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • Charles Schwab Challenge
Theegala, Sahith
+0.56
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
48.2%
51.8%
Harman, BrianTheegala, Sahith
+108
Best Odds
+7.8%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
FINALHarman, Brian (T5) def Theegala, Sahith (T28)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Theegala, Sahith
657279
Harman, Brian
344148

Tournament Context

Event
Charles Schwab Challenge
Course
Colonial CC
Field
132 players
Wind
8 mph
Temp
85°F
Conditions
harder (+0.3)

Player Profile — Theegala, Sahith

Strokes Gained
+0.56/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.031 SG adj
Expected Finish
72th / 132

Matchup Analysis

Theegala, Sahith
+0.56 SG
EF 72th
Skill Gap
-0.02 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Harman, Brian
+0.67 SG
EF 41th · Above Avg

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
51.8%
Books Say
48.1%
Edge
+7.8%

Theegala, Sahith vs Harman, Brian: Model gives Theegala, Sahith 51.8% win probability vs 48.1% implied (+7.8% edge). Expected finish: 72.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Theegala, Sahith 51.8%
+7.8 pts
Spread
-0.0
+7.8 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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