Thompson, Davis vs Hisatsune, Ryo prediction for June 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Hisatsune, Ryo 41 - Thompson, Davis 101. Thompson, Davis is favored with a 60.4% win probability. The spread is 0.15.
Hisatsune, Ryo
+0.35
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • U.S. Open
Thompson, Davis
+0.46
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Hisatsune, RyoThompson, Davis
-105
Best Odds
+18.0%
Edge
1.5u ELITE
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Thompson, Davis
94101108
Hisatsune, Ryo
344148
Tournament Context
Event
U.S. Open
Course
Shinnecock Hills Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — Thompson, Davis
Strokes Gained
+0.46/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.132 SG adj
Expected Finish
101th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Thompson, Davis
+0.46 SG
EF 101th
Skill Gap
+0.15 SG/round
tight edge for Thompson, Davis
Hisatsune, Ryo
+0.35 SG
EF 41th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
60.4%
Books Say
51.2%
Edge
+18.0%
Thompson, Davis vs Hisatsune, Ryo: Model gives Thompson, Davis 60.4% win probability vs 51.2% implied (+18.0% edge). Skill advantage: +0.15 SG/round. Expected finish: 101.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Thompson, Davis 60.4%
+18.0 pts
Spread
+0.1
+18.0 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →