Whaley, Vince vs Kohles, Ben prediction for May 15, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Kohles, Ben 76 - Whaley, Vince 80. Whaley, Vince is favored with a 55.2% win probability. The spread is 0.29.
Kohles, Ben
-0.14
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Whaley, Vince
+0.14
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Kohles, BenWhaley, Vince
-110
Best Odds
+5.5%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Whaley, Vince
738087
Kohles, Ben
697683
Tournament Context
Event
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Course
TPC Craig Ranch
Field
147 players
Wind
15 mph
Temp
81°F
Conditions
harder (+0.8)
Player Profile — Whaley, Vince
Strokes Gained
+0.14/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
excellent
+0.399 SG adj
Expected Finish
80th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Whaley, Vince
+0.14 SG
EF 80th
Skill Gap
+0.29 SG/round
tight edge for Whaley, Vince
Kohles, Ben
-0.14 SG
EF 76th · Below Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
55.2%
Books Say
52.4%
Edge
+5.5%
Whaley, Vince vs Kohles, Ben: Model gives Whaley, Vince 55.3% win probability vs 52.4% implied (+5.5% edge). Skill advantage: +0.29 SG/round. Expected finish: 80.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Whaley, Vince 55.2%
+5.5 pts
Spread
+0.3
+5.5 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →