Woodland, Gary vs Scott, Adam prediction for June 4, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Scott, Adam 0 - Woodland, Gary 37. Woodland, Gary is favored with a 52.5% win probability. The spread is -0.25.
Scott, Adam
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday
Woodland, Gary
+0.89
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Scott, AdamWoodland, Gary
+103
Best Odds
+9.6%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Tournament Context
Event
the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday
Course
Muirfield Village GC
Field
72 players
Wind
13 mph
Temp
82°F
Conditions
harder (+0.6)
Player Profile — Woodland, Gary
Strokes Gained
+0.89/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
excellent
+0.304 SG adj
Expected Finish
37th / 72
Matchup Analysis
Woodland, Gary
+0.89 SG
EF 37th
Skill Gap
-0.25 SG/round
tight edge for Scott, Adam
Scott, Adam
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
52.5%
Books Say
49.3%
Edge
+9.6%
Woodland, Gary vs Scott, Adam: Model gives Woodland, Gary 52.5% win probability vs 49.3% implied (+6.6% edge). Skill advantage: -0.25 SG/round. Expected finish: 37. AI: strong recent form; course specialist.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Woodland, Gary 52.5%
+9.6 pts
Spread
-0.2
+9.6 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →