PGA Tour Golf

Yellamaraju, Sudarshan vs Smith, Jordan Prediction

May 28, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Yellamaraju, Sudarshan vs Smith, Jordan prediction for May 28, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Smith, Jordan 0 - Yellamaraju, Sudarshan 81. Yellamaraju, Sudarshan is favored with a 56.2% win probability. The spread is 0.09.

Smith, Jordan
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • Charles Schwab Challenge
Yellamaraju, Sudarshan
+0.38
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
43.8%
56.2%
Smith, JordanYellamaraju, Sudarshan
-103
Best Odds
+10.8%
Edge
1.0u HIGH
Sizing
FINALSmith, Jordan (T5) def Yellamaraju, Sudarshan (T100)

Tournament Context

Event
Charles Schwab Challenge
Course
Colonial CC
Field
132 players
Wind
10 mph
Temp
91°F
Conditions
harder (+0.4)

Player Profile — Yellamaraju, Sudarshan

Strokes Gained
+0.38/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.129 SG adj
Expected Finish
81th / 132

Matchup Analysis

Yellamaraju, Sudarshan
+0.38 SG
EF 81th
Skill Gap
+0.09 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Smith, Jordan
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
56.2%
Books Say
50.7%
Edge
+10.8%

Yellamaraju, Sudarshan vs Smith, Jordan: Model gives Yellamaraju, Sudarshan 56.2% win probability vs 50.7% implied (+10.8% edge). Expected finish: 81.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Yellamaraju, Sudarshan 56.2%
+10.8 pts
Spread
+0.1
+10.8 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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