PGA Tour Golf

Yellamaraju, Sudarshan vs Thompson, Davis Prediction

June 11, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Yellamaraju, Sudarshan vs Thompson, Davis prediction for June 11, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Thompson, Davis 101 - Yellamaraju, Sudarshan 85. Yellamaraju, Sudarshan is favored with a 56.0% win probability. The spread is -0.13.

Thompson, Davis
+0.46
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • RBC Canadian Open
Yellamaraju, Sudarshan
+0.34
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
44.0%
56.0%
Thompson, DavisYellamaraju, Sudarshan
-110
Best Odds
+6.9%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
FINALThompson, Davis (T53) def Yellamaraju, Sudarshan (T74)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Yellamaraju, Sudarshan
788592
Thompson, Davis
94101108

Tournament Context

Event
RBC Canadian Open
Course
TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
Field
147 players

Player Profile — Yellamaraju, Sudarshan

Strokes Gained
+0.34/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
good
+0.206 SG adj
Expected Finish
85th / 147

Matchup Analysis

Yellamaraju, Sudarshan
+0.34 SG
EF 85th
Skill Gap
-0.13 SG/round
tight edge for Thompson, Davis
Thompson, Davis
+0.46 SG
EF 101th · Tour Avg

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
56.0%
Books Say
52.4%
Edge
+6.9%

Yellamaraju, Sudarshan vs Thompson, Davis: Model gives Yellamaraju, Sudarshan 56.0% win probability vs 52.4% implied (+6.9% edge). Skill advantage: -0.13 SG/round. Expected finish: 85.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Yellamaraju, Sudarshan 56.0%
+6.9 pts
Spread
-0.1
+6.9 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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