Young, Cameron vs Burns, Sam prediction for June 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Burns, Sam 29 - Young, Cameron 61. Young, Cameron is favored with a 58.8% win probability. The spread is 0.27.
Burns, Sam
+1.73
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • U.S. Open
Young, Cameron
+1.83
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Burns, SamYoung, Cameron
-120
Best Odds
+6.2%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Young, Cameron
546168
Burns, Sam
222936
Tournament Context
Event
U.S. Open
Course
Shinnecock Hills Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — Young, Cameron
Strokes Gained
+1.83/round
World Class
Course Fit
neutral
+0.082 SG adj
Expected Finish
61th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Young, Cameron
+1.83 SG
EF 61th
Skill Gap
+0.27 SG/round
tight edge for Young, Cameron
Burns, Sam
+1.73 SG
EF 29th · World Class
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
58.8%
Books Say
54.5%
Edge
+6.2%
Young, Cameron vs Burns, Sam: Model gives Young, Cameron 58.8% win probability vs 54.5% implied (+7.7% edge). Skill advantage: +0.27 SG/round. Expected finish: 61. AI: poor course history.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Young, Cameron 58.8%
+6.2 pts
Spread
+0.3
+6.2 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →