PGA Tour Golf

Young, Cameron vs Cantlay, Patrick Prediction

June 25, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Young, Cameron vs Cantlay, Patrick prediction for June 25, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Cantlay, Patrick 0 - Young, Cameron 28. Young, Cameron is favored with a 51.1% win probability. The spread is 0.25.

Cantlay, Patrick
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • Travelers Championship
Young, Cameron
+1.72
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
48.9%
51.1%
Cantlay, PatrickYoung, Cameron
+106
Best Odds
+5.3%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
FINALCantlay, Patrick (T8) def Young, Cameron (68)

Tournament Context

Event
Travelers Championship
Course
TPC River Highlands
Field
72 players
Wind
9 mph
Temp
84°F
Conditions
harder (+0.4)

Player Profile — Young, Cameron

Strokes Gained
+1.72/round
World Class
Course Fit
poor
-0.035 SG adj
Expected Finish
28th / 72

Matchup Analysis

Young, Cameron
+1.72 SG
EF 28th
Skill Gap
+0.25 SG/round
tight edge for Young, Cameron
Cantlay, Patrick
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
51.1%
Books Say
48.5%
Edge
+5.3%

Young, Cameron vs Cantlay, Patrick: Model gives Young, Cameron 51.1% win probability vs 48.5% implied (+5.3% edge). Skill advantage: +0.25 SG/round. Expected finish: 28.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Young, Cameron 51.1%
+5.3 pts
Spread
+0.2
+5.3 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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