Aeterna Esports vs Zena Esports prediction for May 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Zena Esports 3 - Aeterna Esports 1. Zena Esports is favored with a 71.9% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-3 (Best of 5).
Zena Esports
3
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • LIT
Aeterna Esports
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Zena EsportsAeterna Esports
1-3
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 64.1% (6,707 games)
Team Profiles
Aeterna Esports
Early
30%
Mid
42%
Late
37%
Elo: 1137 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 2-8 (20%)
Zena Esports
Early
60%
Mid
47%
Late
46%
Elo: 1384 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 4-6 (40%)
Score Distribution
Aeterna Esports winsZena Esports wins
0-3
22.3%
1-3
27.9%
2-3
21.8%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
9.7%
3-2
13.6%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +0.3%Draft -0.1%Phase -0.8%Context -0.2%
Key Factors
- Zena Esports holds a significant Elo advantage (246 pts)
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.36
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →