League of Legends

Dragons Esports vs Baam Esports Prediction

May 12, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Dragons Esports vs Baam Esports prediction for May 12, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Baam Esports 1 - Dragons Esports 2. Dragons Esports is favored with a 56.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-1 (Best of 3).

Baam Esports
1
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • Arabian League
Dragons Esports
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
44.0%
56.0%
Baam EsportsDragons Esports
2-1
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALBaam Esports 2 — Dragons Esports 0
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 44.4% (8,557 games)

Team Profiles

Dragons Esports
Elo: 1643 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 8-2 (80%)
Baam Esports
Elo: 1555 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 10-5 (67%)

Score Distribution

Dragons Esports winsBaam Esports wins
0-2
18.6%
1-2
24.2%
2-0
30.1%
2-1
27.1%

Advantage Breakdown

Player +0.1%Phase +0.4%Context +0.2%

Key Factors

championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.40
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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